Assembly Elections 2019 | BJP set to retain Maharashtra and Haryana, shows poll of exit polls
New Delhi | Jagran News Desk: The exit polls have predicted a thumping victory for the BJP-led NDA in Maharashtra and Haryana, riding the vibrant 'Modi wave' and the recent win in Lok Sabha elections.
Exit polls, broadcast soon after the polling ended, varied widely in their projection of seats for the rival alliances but an emphatic victory with more than two-third seats for the BJP-led NDA in Maharashtra and Haryana was the common theme.
In Maharashtra, the BJP-Shiv Sena bonhomie will retain power with the Devendra Fadnavis-led alliance set to sweep the assembly polls held today. The poll of exit polls puts NDA safely above the majority mark with 203-204 seats in its kitty while the Congress-NCP alliance will be left struggling with 66-67 seats in its kitty.
In Haryana, the BJP is set to outshine its rivals Congress, JJP and INLD, with emerging victorious on 67-68 seats while the Congress will taste success on just 12-13 seats. The remaining 10-11 seats are expected to be won by Others.
Exit polls is a poll of voters after the polling is completed and gives the trend of how people have voted. Over the years, exit polls have delivered a mix-bag results in the elections, both Lok Sabha and Assembly. In 2014, most of the exit polls were accurate in predicting the pulse of the nation and gave the BJP-led NDA an edge over Congress-led UPA. The BJP got the absolute majority on its own by alone winning 282 seats.
The poll of polls is an average of exit polls done by various agencies in collaboration with news channels. In this case, the numbers predicted by India Today-Axis My India Exit Poll, Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat, India TV, News 24 and ABP-C Voter have been factored in.
Here is a state-wise analysis of the Poll of Exit Polls for Assembly Elections in Maharashtra and Haryana:
The BJP-Shiv Sena bonhomie is set to outcast the Congress-NCP alliance with victory on 203-204 seats in the 288-seat state assembly. The opposition is likely to fail to convert the anti-incumbency factor in its favour and is expected to get only 67-68 seats.
India Today-Axis My India: BJP-Shiv Sena - 166-194 (180) Congress-NCP -- 72-90 seats (81), Others -- 22-34 (28).
ABP-C Voter: BJP-204, Congress-69, Others - 15
Republic-Jan Ki Baat: BJP - 216-230 (223), Congress - 44-65, Others - 8-11
News 24: BJP - 181, Congress - 81, Others - 26
India TV: BJP - 230, Congress - 48, Others - 10
The BJP, which is seeking a second straight term under Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis, is contesting 164 seats, which include 14 candidates of smaller allies contesting on its lotus symbol, while Sena has fielded candidates on 126 seats. On the other hand, the Congress has fielded 147 candidates and the ally NCP 121.
The campaign in Maharashtra was marked by personal attacks and sharp exchange of barbs between the chief minister and NCP chief Sharad Pawar, who hit the hustings at the age of 79 and addressed a number of rallies. However, the Congress and NCP failed to hold even a single joint rally.
The campaign also saw an undertone of jostling for supremacy between the BJP and the Sena, which had fought the last assembly elections separately, winning 122 and 63 seats respectively. The Congress had bagged 42 and the NCP 41 seats.
In the April-May Lok Sabha elections, the BJP-Sena alliance won 41 of the 48 Lok Sabha seats in Maharashtra, while the Congress won one and NCP four seats.
In Haryana, the poll of exit polls predict another term for Manohar Lal Khattar-led BJP in the state. In what seems to be a one-sided contest, the BJP is expected to win 67-68 seats in the 90-seat state assembly. The Congress is once again set to face embarassment with the exit polls predicting 12-13 seats for the party.
India Today - Axis My India: BJP - 63, Congress - 16, Others - 11
ABP-C Voter: BJP - 72, Congress - 8, Others - 10
Republic-Jan Ki Baat Exit Poll: BJP - 52-63, Congress-15-19, Others - 12-19
News 24: BJP - 71, Congress - 11, Others - 8
India TV: BJP - 73, Congress - 10, Others - 7
In Haryana, the Congress is hoping to make a comeback following a change in guard in the state, while the BJP led by Chief Minister Manohar Lal Khattar has set a target of winning 75 seats out of 90. Currently, the BJP has 48 members in state assembly and had won all 10 Lok Sabha seats in the recent election.
In the 2014 assembly polls, the BJP for the first time came to power in Haryana winning 47 seats. It won the Jind bypolls earlier this year, taking its total strength in the state assembly to 48. The INLD had 19 MLAs while the Congress has 17 legislators. The BSP and the SAD had bagged one seat each in the last polls while five were Independents.
If exit poll surveys are to be believed, this will come as a big endorsement for the BJP-led NDA government whose poll campaigning in Maharashtra and Haryana has been focused on nationalism, with the abrogation of Article 370 in Jammu and Kashmir emerging as its key poll plank -- a move which was criticised by the Opposition.
The BJP, led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, has been making a big pitch about the issue, saying that such a "bold" step could be taken only by a strong and decisive government.
Posted By: Abhinav Gupta